One is we think the stock will rise, from 4 dollars, the middle of little more than a year, went to 22 dollars, is still between blocks 5,6. You see, you experience a bear market, you calculate how much your interest rate, you have nearly 30% to 50% interest rate, you look at the people around you have lost over their money, but you will not buy the stock up, I tell you an the stock will go up, but also has been said on television an example, in 2007 when the index in 3000, is there any relatively safe stock, a stock does not rise, what stocks? China Unicom, I say know the risk is very 07 year, because I turned the hands of some 10 times the stock's at 06 years, I can not give me that rose 07 to 10 times, but I will not go, people always the point is would be more greedy, always want to open a higher point, then I keep moving I do not, but I know not to buy this stock, but I still have money to how to do? then I say that it is not up money to buy a stock, is China Unicom. So, China Unicom was 4 6, I clearly remember that before the Spring Festival in 2007, I bought in on the plane, but this kind of thing That is easy, because it is hard. He does not rise for three months, you said he did not he also rose up, rose 6 4 6 3, not bad, you say He has risen to three months the time the middle, that time is the most crazy of all the stock up when I told me that her sister, listen to you is to my life, one of the bull market have gone wrong. You said 20% of the people rose to 300 %, we all know was how to China Unicom, China Unicom was near the highest point in the index after the reaction started, this time beginning on the Shanghai Composite Index continued to fall from 6000. My impression of the middle, fell to 4 thousand points of time, He is still around 10 dollars, 6 dollars China Unicom is still around now, this is a stock does not rise, a big bull market, you calculate how much money you get 6, then 4, now 6 zero a few, this has passed away. This matter is the Industrial and Commercial Bank Ye Hao, Bao Ye Hao, Ye Hao of China Unicom, and now a reincarnation, I think that the stock never rose, and now Industrial and Commercial Bank is one such stock. so I do not expect him to money, but with my sense, when the shareholders, of course, because most people are not admitted to when the shareholders are to grab money for. tend to grab people stealing money eventually, when the shareholders, you sense come to find a valuable stock, I bought one point I when the shareholders, I left my son and grandson. but there are pleasant surprise, so life is definitely good sense, I think it is in this Industrial and Commercial Bank prices above what would happen later this index. may each have their own judgments. I think in terms of investment value from one year to give you a cash return of 4% of listed companies, it must be long to buy the stock. may each have their own I think judging from the investment in terms of value, can give you a 4% return a year, cash returns, listed companies, must be a long-term stock to buy.
that fact, the previous bull market if it is determined that the bull market , I raised a point of view, that is, breeding, just beginning. this intermediate then reactionary, do not move the stock to move enchant, and finally it anti-corruption, which is a bull market rules, and now I think this does to make a three-step is not to be traced, in 2009 the stock, even the best stocks, you do not chase, promising how to do? favorite stocks how to do? down. wait for him or the time to buy, not sell into the second. just said to buy, Now that sell, not to sell into, because there are always opportunities to appear better than the last selling point selling point. because there is an oscillating process. Do not do the third short-term, I said, I'm comparing 918, the same index now to the same location early, 918 did not move, 918 to earn a 30% if you take this section are rising trend, then it is much faster than usual. We now refer all of the following short-term basis.
because the stock market is doing is a fundamental psychological problem about why up, why fall, because people's mentality has changed, we have to change the mentality. So we do to the mentality toward the direction of evolution, since it is psychological, then by surrounding environment, the entire human unaffected? Chinese people speak the immortal one, by the natural environment, affected by the season, solar terms of the impact. year of the middle 24 solar terms, the investment decisions of all I think it is affected , of course, some people will say this is superstition, or why a winter solstice, winter solstice in the south we all know, is Halloween, that time when the mood is the lowest in physiological cycle is a low tide, we are all low. that it is relatively pessimistic. vernal equinox when the recovery of all things cheerful mood for the happy to see anything positive. I think it is not the same, I do not know specifically how to mix, say more really become a fortune, but the death of a group of data is Laoding I sell, some more subtle data, is said to be his teacher, the tomb of the word according to the U.S. more than twenty thousand year record of the above offerings, he found a large 10-year-old age of death mainly in 1 year . then 10 years old to 20 years old, died aged mainly 12 to 13 years old. The two age groups. So do 20 to 30, mainly in 23,UGG shoes,25,29, we point to remember .23,25,29.2500 , and then move that is 2900 points, then 30, was 34,37,40 years old I remember very clearly, also remember not clear 50, 60 I remember not too clear, it is 73 60 is 61,67,70, 78, generally it is so few numbers, then the data is some amazing data, for instance, 61,6124 point is a record high of 73, he said, why is it that Ken is over 6,000. When the collapse of the Tokyo index , is 73 points, 73 times is, of course, we do not say that this figure has all the magic that you see often is the time to 73 times the limit of all, these numbers we can verify this in the future, more cautious, that is, touch When these figures we could be a little careful.
root then I told everyone that what he said yesterday. short-term to determine its judgments are not my judge. He thinks next week, April 3, before and after the Ching Ming Festival, Qingming Day is Halloween ah 3 .4 a high point may occur, if the April 3, does not appear that April 7 will appear, should be a correction, but now we do not know April 3 will go where? So now says is not clear. But the time period from the point of view, it should be transferred to the 27, the index began to back away, in May, the emergence of the high points in this round of Xingqing, in June after crash, in June after the crash. do not know how the back, time to say, but it certainly will not fall, they may drop to 2 thousand 8 hundred thousands of points by 1 point. is a big adjustment, which he A personal point of view, is simply to project from the time band, I do not fully recognized, I think we can take a look, as if the second half to six dollars, then. the passage of time is long. I think the judge within a week basically accurate, should be accurate. I verified the key to what he sent me the reminder time, I think from the winter solstice to the present. a reminder within a week is very accurate. am still up in the afternoon on the tune, and indeed will be verified on look, I think June can not say why he said in June it will collapse, all of you go back and check, are plunged in June, and I now think about, if there is such a situation. Then why say that June will then crash it. you all can check out when he said in June .6 are plummeting. I now think about .08 year in June, breaking three thousand points, June 10, I just said. After the fall festival, fall 07 530, 4300, fell more than 3400 points. I just said that 30 years of age, 34,37, is the limit when the number of .6 months, July and went up, I just talk with you, so 08,07 is plummeting, June 2005 broke 998,04 years I did not check, go back and check your own, in May 2004 is not crash, anyway, is not the last three years in June good month. are reflected in severe oscillations. but I think and not because of June's performance is to determine the annual performance in June and a resonance from the macro appears, and what resonance it. is the first half of the poor performance may be the most The results will come out, this time not too strong if we psychological time, it is not good, so speaking from the foundation. supports six levels down. and from the rising cycle of speaking, may be adjusted to support in June, so that time Is there such a situation, we can little more cautious, I will give you a suggestion, if this trend this week, you verify that this person is reasonable, then in June can be cautious, holding part of the class to do some manipulation. But generally speaking, their favorite stocks, you can do some long-term holding, especially since I just said is not prepared to stock up. My speech on here.
Huang Chao: I would like to ask the water Paper teacher a question, that is, the real estate market in China in 2008 is very sluggish, especially last year that the 4 quarter, the turnover of first-tier cities continued to shrink so that prices are falling trend, other cities do, a sustained housing This trend of falling prices. then the real estate industry, as expected by many people, 09 two to three months after the Spring Festival volume continue to enlarge, there are a lot of people that continue to enlarge the analysis of what the reason. so many first-tier cities in the transaction volume it is almost back to the 2007 level of sales compared wang. I ask the teacher the next step that the skin of water will continue for now? If it will continue or not continue because what is it? Thank you.
Water Paper: The question I also particularly noticed. planing to developers fraud of this factor, blows the money factor. This factor may be. So how do we look at this phenomenon from my point of view the experience in Beijing, heavy volume is indeed a big bang, The standard to be exceeded in the past, in part to the increase in real estate prices do, but this is mainly good quality real estate, there is no substantial price on the nature or possibility. I think this round of market correction after the end of gap open in this place. is a good location for high-quality real estate prices are guaranteed, but also rose, but the mainland goods, or the system of ordinary materials, I think have no value. because of the relative supply is unlimited. So high-quality,UGG boots, high-end. supply is limited, of course, from this perspective, I think that if from an investment perspective, then, commercial real estate is the investment option, if with the housing ratio, housing has no investment value, especially in the second and third floor. You can not expect a large number of foreign people to rent your house is not. So there is a feature of commercial real estate, because three or more, can not do commercial real estate, real estate and then a middle底商 do, ah, ah the end of libraries. His number is limited, if compared with the residential, residential limited, we have to observe, if March is still a big bang, then the credibility of a high volume of transactions, so I just said two in value. Perhaps the whole real estate down has stopped or entered a down after the long stage. in the middle of this process, good bad start to differentiate, there is investment value and the general waste species began to differentiate. not to say that the real estate market rebound, then real estate developers will be better days, I think the whole, most developers are still not better than the day because he was facing elimination in the oscillation process risk, there are several indicators of this year, we can note that, of course, our leaders pay attention to is the power generation target because he meant the macroeconomic trend, this is the caliber of Premier Wen Jiabao, the Prime Minister said this is the case, I am concerned about what From January, China's car sales have risen rapidly. will replace the U.S. as the first, then many people do not think the car. then they think it is not a month, you buy a car New Year, it is understandable, then Second down very carefully on spare parts, for instance, Chang V to 5 thousand vehicles down the list, the results were unprecedented, in January, one thousand sales and empty 8,UGG boots cheap, February 7 5 thousand thousand plans. The results spell out 7 one thousand. also an off are empty. Chery has run into this situation. these were their sales Laozong introduce me. I have come across such a situation. I do not know you did not pay attention to large. you say Dongfeng , Dongfeng the sounds of nature. because my wife bought the Teana is the first car, the day we do care for us now. I found out the new Teana, I feel good, looks better than the old models, I say you add some money for a vehicles. like there is no car to go the next day, said sales center for three weeks without a car. like cars at all. only reservations. I really do not encounter such a situation, a car convention. Then I asked why. This is the first, second, the purchase price, adjusted comparison in place has been down the past few years, it fell to some, the rigid demand the release can be effective, the automobile market to pick up are some exceptions, is also very important signal. said everyone was willing to spend money. The key to see you at reasonable prices is unreasonable. there is no room for further declines, no, we began to buy. a house may also be such a case, friends around me is the case, touch The trouble is now. He favored the sale, no more. Now many people, the field bear the risk of waiting to see is this, this is also a subtle change in psychology, I think the market is a psychological change in the cycle. I just said no any program of economic domination, why do not need to say that the introduction of the central ah. The market volume is up. Just two up, and will also be started. opened the work of the migrant workers of the problem is solved, the central do not worry, So the real estate market can not solve their own problems we can see, I think before September this year will be sustained oscillation, and September can be confirmed for future warming, but warming up 20% as in the past is not necessarily, the gap must be able to pull open. the real estate market, the overall market is still adjusting in a cycle of oscillation. Hello everybody up real estate that is restorative Yang. than to increase the value of its own.
audience: Hello Mr. water skin, the Metro CEOs are anxious to pull you from the housing market, my question is on the property. I tell you, a car, absolute and performance of listed companies is not clear. I think I now understand the situation from the point of view. If not to cook the books say. listed companies performance car should be contrary to all expectation. on it, two questions ah! first do the first three parts of your investments, I have no investment of three parts, this is a good inspiration But I can say that the early 2007's, when I later bought an apartment, I am not in favor of all the money into the stock market to go inside, I think real estate is to cast the vote in a 30% or 30%, to 40% in the property above, I had to buy an apartment, but I communicate with a few bosses, I say that I now have money, I do not want to buy stocks, you do real estate, I want to buy I recommend you give a house on the need, he said, office buildings, apartments, villas, this is the case of Beijing, why he said, is still a scarcity of shops, because I later bought an apartment, because I get a good opportunity for great discounts great, so I bought an apartment.
audience: that is to do what the shops are very professional, I think everyone is doing now shops, large and small developers are doing business library. the first two years we have friends around There are shops must buy, I personally feel it is for the serious 17 on demand, for example, we have a lot of Changzhou city, now empty,UGG boots clearance, as is the new high, I would like to ask, are you not also think that in small cities, and demand for large shops is very serious not you think so?
Water Paper: According to my understanding. So I touch more with Wanda. The Wanda is the largest commercial developers. He was walking many detours, many, many years of detours. So the first sentence of just a simple thing to say. that place is not popular major, and he may now move on to two or three tier cities, for instance, that the city of Ningbo, Ningbo, only one day before a square. He made a Wanda Plaza, the commercial center for the formation of two, he must be a large area of the community, can form such a way Quyu center, so Shinei many places that I not judge, but I think definitely get together to do business, and there are developers is very important, the developer is not doing commercial real estate, all have similar business that he held his own. He is here to do business, this very, very important, if only Once created is like selling residential real estate, then sold to you. finished, he received ah, what a property management fees. I think this is bad, even the best of the lot is also suspended, because he is not household operations good. If the developer is the real direction, he will create a business center environment, it can, we do a lot of Wanda, he is creating a business environment, in fact you are a small developer, you follow Big developers, you have to stick with him I think can only be guaranteed.
Huang Chao: I would like to ask the teacher a water skin problem that Chinese real estate market in 2008 is very sluggish, especially last year that this 4 quarter, the turnover of first-tier cities continued to shrink so that prices are falling trend, other cities do, there's the continuing trend of falling house prices. then the real estate industry, as expected by many people, both after the Spring Festival 09 three-month trading volume continued to enlarge, there are a lot of people that continue to enlarge the analysis of what the reason. so many first-tier cities in the volume it is almost back to the 2007 level of sales compared wang. I ask the teacher the next step this water skin will continue for now? If it will continue or not continue because what is it? Thank you.
Water Paper: I am also particularly concerned about this problem before. planing to developers fraud of this factor, shuffled around the capital of the factors . This factor may be. So how do we look at this phenomenon from my point of view the experience in Beijing, heavy volume is indeed a big bang, this should be beyond the level of the past, in part to the increase in real estate prices do, but mainly high-quality Good real estate, there is no substantial price on the nature or possibility. I think the end of this round of market adjustment, the gap between the pull of in this place. is a good location for high-quality real estate prices are guaranteed, but also rise, but the mainland goods, or the ordinary system of material, I think have no value. because the supply is relatively unlimited. so high quality, high-end. supply is limited, of course, from this perspective, I think if From an investment perspective, then, investment in commercial real estate is an option, if compared with the residential, residential investment has no value, especially in the second and third floor. You can not expect a large number of foreign people to rent your house is not. So there is a feature of commercial real estate, because three or more, can not do commercial real estate, and then the middle of a sale, do 底商, ah, ah the end of libraries. His number is limited, if compared with the residential, Housing is limited, we have to observe, if March is still a big bang, then the credibility of a high volume of transactions, so I just said in the value of the two. Maybe down the whole real estate has been stopped, fell off into the future to one, the long stage. in the middle of this process, good bad start to differentiate, there is investment value and variety of the general garbage, began to differentiate. not to say that the real estate market rebound, then the day will be real estate developers better, I think the whole, most of the days of developers still will not be easy, because he faced during the oscillation of the risk of being eliminated this year there are several indicators, we can note that, of course, our leaders pay attention to is the generation capacity indicators, because he means the macroeconomic trends, it is the caliber of Premier Wen Jiabao, the Prime Minister said this is the case, what I am concerned, from January, China's car sales have risen rapidly. will replace the U.S. as the first, So many people do not think the car. then they think it is not a month, you buy a car New Year, can be understood, then the decline in spare parts is very cautious in February, for instance, Chang V to 5 thousand vehicles down the list, the results were unprecedented, in January, one thousand eight off are empty, Feb. 7 program is 5 thousand thousand. The results spell out seven one thousand. also a off are empty. Chery also encountered this situation. those too are their sales manager introduced me. I have encountered such a situation. I do not know you did not pay attention to large. you say east, east the sounds of nature. because my wife bought the Teana is the first car, the day that we do maintain our now. I found out the new sounds of nature, I feel good, looks better than the old models, I say you add some money for one. like there is no car to go the next day, said sales center for three weeks without a car. like cars no. only reservations. I really do not encounter such a situation, a car convention. Then I asked why. This is the first, second, the purchase price, adjusted comparison in place has been down the past few years, Therefore, some fell after the release of rigid demand can be effective, the automobile market to pick up are some exceptions, is also very important signal. say we are still willing to spend money. The key to see you at reasonable prices is unreasonable. have not continued to fall space, no, we began to buy. a house may also be such a case, friends around me is such a situation is encountered trouble now. He favored the sale, no more. Now many people, on the ground to wait and see the risk is this, this is a subtle psychological change, I think the market is a psychological change in the cycle. I just said no economic domination scheme, why do not need to say that the introduction of the central ah. The market volume is up. Just two up, and will also be started. began to build, the problem of migrant workers is resolved, the central do not worry, so the real estate market can not solve their own problems we can see, I think that before September this year should also will be sustained oscillation, and September can be confirmed for future warming, but warming up 20% as in the past is not necessarily, the gap must be opened. the real estate market, the overall market is still in an adjustment cycle oscillation. Hello everybody real estate Yang is the restoration of the rose. than to increase the value of its own.
audience: Water Hello Mr. Paper, the new city manager was in a hurry to pull you from the housing market, my question is also about real estate. car I told you to say, the absolute performance of listed companies is not clear. I think I now understand the situation from the point of view. if we did not cook the books say. listed companies performance car should be contrary to all expectation. on it, two questions ah! First do your own investment in the first three parts, I did not invest three parts, this is a good inspiration, but I can say that the early 2007's, when I later bought an apartment, I am not We put money into the stock market in favor of which, I think it is real estate investment and a 30% vote, or 30% to 40% in the property above, I had to buy an apartment, but my boss with a few communication, I said I now have money, I do not want to buy stocks, you do real estate, I want to buy a house, I recommend you give on the need, he said, office buildings, apartments, villas, this is the case of Beijing Why, he said, shops or a scarce, because I later bought an apartment, because I get a good opportunity for a big, big discounts, so buy the public
audience: that is to do what the shops are very professional, I think everyone is doing shops, large and small developers are doing business library. the first two years are all around us, friends shop will buy, I personally feel it is for the serious 17 on demand, for example, we Changzhou There are many city, now empty, as is the new high, I would like to ask, are you not also think that in small cities, and demand for large shops is very serious not you think so?
Water Paper : According to my understanding. So I touch more with Wanda. The Wanda is the largest commercial developers. He walked a lot of detours, detours many, many years. So the first sentence of just a simple thing to say. that place the main is not popular, he may now move on to two or three tier cities, for instance, that the city of Ningbo, Ningbo Tianyi Square before the only one. He made a Wanda Plaza, the commercial center for the formation of two, he must be big area of the community, can form such a regional center approach, so many places on the interior, said, I'm not judging, but I think certainly get together to do business, there is very important to the developer, the developer is not doing commercial real estate, all have similar business he held his own. He is here to do business, this very, very important, if only after the construction of complete residential real estate would like to sell to sell you. finished, he received ah, what a property management fees. I think this is bad, even the best of the lot is also suspended, because he family business is not good. If the developer is the real direction, he will create a business-centric environment, and that Yes, we do a lot of Wanda, he is creating a business environment, in fact you are a small developer, you follow the big developers, you have to stick with him I think it can only be guaranteed.
Moderator : Thank you, our guests a warm spot, we once again bid farewell to warm round of applause please our water skins teachers, our friends who live, time is short, but today it is a rich harvest, we believe today's forum can cause in the calm after the investment decision, against the future, our success today, the forum, thank you all for coming, and thanks to you to support our new city real estate, continue to focus on our town streets. Thank you. Goodbye.
No comments:
Post a Comment